Research

The Green Divide

How Income Inequality and Policy Misalignment Threaten Europe's Climate Goals

Electric vehicle charging with Euro currency in the background, symbolizing the economic divide in EV adoption
Philosophy: There is no substitute for personally listening to and observing real people to uncover insights

Research Overview

A comprehensive analysis of the socioeconomic factors limiting electric vehicle adoption in Europe

This executive summary consolidates findings from NexisNeo's two-part analysis examining the growing "Green Divide" in European electric vehicle adoption. Our research identifies critical socioeconomic barriers and policy contradictions preventing the majority of European households from participating in the transition to electric mobility.

Two-Part Analysis

Our research examines both the economic barriers and policy contradictions that create the "Green Divide"

Data-Driven Approach

Combines market analysis, income distribution data, and policy impact evaluation across EU member states

Actionable Recommendations

Provides specific policy and industry strategy recommendations to address the identified barriers

Key Findings

Critical Barriers to Equitable EV Adoption

Our research uncovered four interconnected factors creating a two-tier mobility system in Europe

Affordability Crisis

80-90% of European households cannot afford electric vehicles priced at €40,000 or more, limiting the market to the wealthiest 10-20% of consumers despite long-term savings.

Policy Contradictions

EU tariffs on Chinese EVs (20.7% imposed in October 2023) are forcing manufacturers to reconsider affordable EV production while making vehicles less accessible to average consumers.

Market Strategy Misalignment

European automakers continue prioritizing high-margin premium EVs over affordable models, with profit-driven strategies favoring luxury segments that represent a small fraction of potential buyers.

Social and Political Consequences

A two-tier mobility system is emerging, divided by income and access, while growing resistance to climate policies stems from perceived inequality in who bears the costs.

Path Forward

Recommendations

Refocus Government Incentives

Target subsidies specifically on affordable EV models under €40,000 to make electric mobility accessible to middle and lower-income households.

Develop Strategic Partnerships

Foster collaboration between European and Asian manufacturers to combine engineering excellence with cost-effective production techniques.

Implement Income-Based Subsidies

Create subsidy structures that provide greater support to middle and lower-income households based on financial need rather than flat-rate incentives.

Eliminate Counterproductive Tariffs

Reconsider tariffs that make EVs less affordable for average consumers and impede the transition to sustainable transportation.

Create Transition Pathways

Develop comprehensive programs for workers in traditional automotive manufacturing to ensure a just transition to electric mobility.

Visual representation of the recommendations for addressing the Green Divide

Research Methodology

A multi-disciplinary approach to understanding the barriers to EV adoption

Market Data Analysis

Comprehensive assessment of current EV offerings and pricing across European markets

Income Distribution Research

Analysis of household income patterns and purchasing power across EU member states

Policy Impact Evaluation

Assessment of current incentive programs, tariffs, and regulations affecting EV adoption

Comparative Analysis

Examination of successful adoption approaches in markets like Norway to identify best practices

About the Researcher

Combining sociology and data analysis to understand technology adoption barriers

This research was conducted by Amy Cancryn, founder of NexisNeo and sociologist specializing in technology adoption and market barriers. With a background in sociology and data analytics, Cancryn brings a unique perspective to understanding the human and social factors affecting cleantech adoption.

Access the Full Research

Dive deeper into our comprehensive analysis of the Green Divide in European EV adoption

Contact Information

For media inquiries or further information about this research

Amy Cancryn

Founder, NexisNeo

amy@nexisneo.com

For Research Collaboration

If you're interested in collaborating on future research or would like to request additional data from this study, please reach out using our contact form https://nexisneo.com/contact.